Comments on: Business models looking back and forward http://www.jarche.com/2010/01/business-models-looking-back-and-forward/ Life in Perpetual Beta Thu, 09 Feb 2012 01:59:38 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Things I learned this week – #2 | dougbelshaw.com/blog http://www.jarche.com/2010/01/business-models-looking-back-and-forward/comment-page-1/#comment-193173 Things I learned this week – #2 | dougbelshaw.com/blog Sun, 10 Jan 2010 18:44:17 +0000 http://www.jarche.com/?p=3229#comment-193173 [...] ever-relevant and insightful Harold Jarche looks back at Seth Godin’s predictions for 2009 from 5 years ago (startlingly accurate) and his own from [...] [...] ever-relevant and insightful Harold Jarche looks back at Seth Godin’s predictions for 2009 from 5 years ago (startlingly accurate) and his own from [...]

]]> By: Dave Ferguson http://www.jarche.com/2010/01/business-models-looking-back-and-forward/comment-page-1/#comment-193080 Dave Ferguson Fri, 08 Jan 2010 13:14:50 +0000 http://www.jarche.com/?p=3229#comment-193080 Seth was right, in terms of metaphor, in saying that hard disk space would be free. I heard the somewhat less popular Bill Gates say something similar in the late 1980s: when you think about the future, assume that storage, memory, and bandwidth are free. None of that's quite true, of course; it's only the <i>relative</i> cost that's fallen. Some people with smartphones may not be able to accurately state the total cash outlay over two years (often close to US $3,000) for hardware, voice and data services. Clearly cost is only one variable in the equation, but it's not one to ignore. Seth was right, in terms of metaphor, in saying that hard disk space would be free. I heard the somewhat less popular Bill Gates say something similar in the late 1980s: when you think about the future, assume that storage, memory, and bandwidth are free.

None of that’s quite true, of course; it’s only the relative cost that’s fallen. Some people with smartphones may not be able to accurately state the total cash outlay over two years (often close to US $3,000) for hardware, voice and data services.

Clearly cost is only one variable in the equation, but it’s not one to ignore.

]]> By: Harold Jarche http://www.jarche.com/2010/01/business-models-looking-back-and-forward/comment-page-1/#comment-193055 Harold Jarche Thu, 07 Jan 2010 16:04:21 +0000 http://www.jarche.com/?p=3229#comment-193055 I pretty well agree with your predictions. Mobile & video will be game changers. I pretty well agree with your predictions. Mobile & video will be game changers.

]]> By: virginia Yonkers http://www.jarche.com/2010/01/business-models-looking-back-and-forward/comment-page-1/#comment-193052 virginia Yonkers Thu, 07 Jan 2010 12:48:34 +0000 http://www.jarche.com/?p=3229#comment-193052 While wifi might be limited, the new upgraded mobile phone systems are meeting this need. I just read an article in the Financial Times that the newest technology to be introduced at the International Technology fair is the "smartbook", a combination notebook computer and smart phone. The smartbook will allow access to the internet either through mobile phone technology or wifi with the ability to communicate, access and transmit information, and access/transmit multimedia. In the US, at least, the 3G network is much more developed than Wifi, especially in less populated areas. The other trend that I see is moving from a central place to hold information to multiple places to record the location of information (delicious, facebook, cell phones) and the communication of where those places can be found (again delicious, facebook, but also twitter). I think also that there is a battle going on between "legitimate" information and "flawed information". You can read the rest of my predictions <a href="http://connecting2theworld.blogspot.com/2010/01/some-predictions-for-new-decade.html" rel="nofollow">here</a>. While wifi might be limited, the new upgraded mobile phone systems are meeting this need. I just read an article in the Financial Times that the newest technology to be introduced at the International Technology fair is the “smartbook”, a combination notebook computer and smart phone. The smartbook will allow access to the internet either through mobile phone technology or wifi with the ability to communicate, access and transmit information, and access/transmit multimedia. In the US, at least, the 3G network is much more developed than Wifi, especially in less populated areas.

The other trend that I see is moving from a central place to hold information to multiple places to record the location of information (delicious, facebook, cell phones) and the communication of where those places can be found (again delicious, facebook, but also twitter).

I think also that there is a battle going on between “legitimate” information and “flawed information”. You can read the rest of my predictions here.

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